Polarlicht Watch atkiv seit 10.10 UTC

[Helius]

.

/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\

MIDDLE LATITUDE AURORAL ACTIVITY WATCH

ISSUED: 10:10 UTC, 03 OCTOBER 2001

/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\

VALID BEGINNING AT: EFFECTIVE IMMEDIATELY
VALID UNTIL: 19:00 UTC ON 05 OCTOBER

HIGH RISK PERIOD: 03 OCT - 04 OCTOBER (UTC DAYS)
MODERATE RISK PERIOD: 03 OCT - 05 OCTOBER

PREDICTED ACTIVITY INDICES: 30, 30, 15, 12 (04 OCT - 07 OCT)

POTENTIAL MAGNITUDE OF MIDDLE LATITUDE AURORAL ACTIVITY: MODERATE

POTENTIAL DURATION OF THIS ACTIVITY: MAIN BELT = 18 TO 36 HOURS

MINOR BELT = 24 TO 48 HOURS

ESTIMATED OPTIMUM OBSERVING CONDITIONS: NEAR LOCAL MIDNIGHT

EXPECTED LUNAR INTERFERENCE: MODERATE TO HIGH

OVERALL OPPORTUNITY FOR OBSERVATIONS FROM MIDDLE LATITUDES: FAIR

AURORAL ACTIVITY *MAY* BE OBSERVED APPROXIMATELY NORTH OF A LINE FROM...

OREGON TO SOUTHERN IDAHO TO WYOMING TO NORTHERN NEBRASKA TO IOWA TO

ILLINOIS TO INDIANA TO OHIO TO NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA TO DELAWARE.

ACTIVITY *MAY* ALSO BE OBSERVED APPROXIMATELY NORTH OF A LINE FROM...

UNITED KINGDOM AND POSSIBLY IRELAND TO NORTHERN EUROPE INCLUDING FINLAND

AND SWEDEN TO NORTHERN RUSSIA. NEW ZEALAND AND PARTS OF SOUTHEAST

AUSTRALIA MAY ALSO SPOT PERIODS OF ACTIVITY.

SYNOPSIS...

The arrival of another transient related solar disturbance has resulted
in a fairly strong intensification of auroral activity. Solar wind conditions
are currently fairly favorable for the development of moderately strong
auroral storm activity. This activity may become visible over widespread
middle and high latitude dark-sky regions. Transient disturbances could
continue to sporadically enhance auroral activity over the next 48 hours.

This watch will remain in effect until 19:00 UTC on 05 October. It
will then be updated or allowed to expire.

PLEASE REPORT OBSERVATIONS OF AURORAL ACTIVITY TO:

http://solar.spacew.com/www/auroras.html

* OR *

Use the STD AURORA MONITOR Software to monitor conditions and

report sightings. It is available at:

http://www.spacew.com/aurora

For Real-Time News and Discussions with Experienced Aurora Enthusiasts:

http://www.spacew.com/irc

and join the #aurora channel (type /join #aurora)

WE HAVE A USEFUL DISCUSSION FORUM FOR AURORA ENTHUSIASTS AVAILABLE AT:

http://www.spacew.com/aurora/forum.html

** End of Watch **