Estimated Shock Strength (0: Weakest, 9=Strongest): 5

[Heiko]

Event #10 - 27 December 2001
Issued: 17:00 UTC, 27 December 2001

SOURCE EVENT

26 December 2001
M7.1/1B Flare in Active Region 9742 - N08 W54 at 05:41 UTC
Type II: Undetermined
LASCO-derived Plane of Sky Velocity: ~1069 km/sec

ESTIMATED TIME OF ARRIVAL OF SHOCK AT EARTH

Estimated Impact Window: 00:00 UTC on 28 December to 18:00 UTC on 28 December
Preferred Predicted Impact Time: 08:00 UTC, 28 December 2001
Estimated Shock Strength (0: Weakest, 9=Strongest): 5

Predicted Behavior of IMF at Shock Impact

At Shock Impact, the Interplanetary Magnetic Field is predicted to initially turn:
SOUTHWARD (see note)

Naja bei den miesen Wetteraussichten wird's wohl doch mehr als'n Streifschuss.

Gruss Heiko