beim Surfen bin ich eben auf eine richtig miese Prognose für die kommenden Sonnenzyklen gestoßen. Naja, wenigstens hört sich dafür die Kurzfrist-Prognose (Febr-April 2002) sehr verheißungsvoll an. Die Mail ist allerdings schon ein paar Monate alt, vom 13.Sept. 2001.
HELIOSYNOPTICS, BOULDER,COLORADO USA
SOLAR CYCLE STATUS, FUTURE TRENDS SEPT 13/2015 UT
The best fits between the present 23rd sunspot cycle and previous cycles
are Cycle 17 (1934-1944) and Cycle 11 (1867-1878). The fit since solar
maximum in April 2000 favors Cycle 11.This cycle was prior to one of the
minima in the longer-term cycle in amplitudes of sunspot cycles, and some
preliminary data suggest this present cycle is a transition to a similar
long-term minimum that will create a very reduced level of solar activity
for the next 30 years. The sunspot numbers until about May 2002 are
expected to vary around an average sunspot number value of 100. Near that
month the solar indices are expected to undergo the abrupt drop that has
characterized the end of the maximum phase of the recent solar cycles.
These abrupt drops were preceded by one or two of the most powerful flaring
regions of the cycles in the last four, or possibly five, solar cycles.
This predicts that a center of very-high activity would occur in the
interval February-April 2002.
Patrick S. McIntosh
HelioSynoptics and
McIntosh Squared Graphics
3885 Paseo del Prado
Boulder, CO 80301-1527
303-444-5880 FAX: 303-440-0102
Wenn ich wüsste, dass es wirklich so kommt, würde ich mich ab Mai für die nächsten 40 Jahre einfrieren lassen
Grüße
Peter