Bin mal gespannt was dabei rauskommt.
15h sind zwar ein noch recht großes Zeitfenster, aber wir kenn ja die Schwierigkeiten.
Weis ja wo die die Daten her haben, aber bei diesem Zeitfenster müsste der Start-Speed bei ca. 1200 liegen...
Flares and CMEs
Only 1 M class event was recorded on March 15. Region 9866 was the source of a long duration M2.2 event which peaked at 23:10 UTC. This event occurred while the region was near the center of the solar disk and was accompanied by a fairly fast full halo CME. The brightest part of the CME was observed off the west limb, however, this CME will impact the Earth and could cause the most significant geomagnetic disturbance in several months. Minor to major storming is likely and there is a possibility of severe storming during the first 12-24 hours after the impact. This solar storm will likely reach the Earth sometime between 15h UTC on March 17 and 06h UTC on March 18.
Quelle:
http://www.dxlc.com/solar/
Gruß Lutz