...bei den Magnetogrammen und magnetischen Scherkräften...da steckt soviel Sprengstoff drin, dass es bestimmt mal wieder einen X1 oder mehr am Westrand geben wird.
Gruß
Ulrich
Ein wunder, dass es 9830 noch nicht zerrissen hat...
-
Peter Kuklok
MAJOR SOLAR FLARE WARNING
/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\
POTENTIAL MAJOR SOLAR FLARE WARNING
ISSUED: 19:25 UTC, 21 FEBRUARY 2002
/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\
SYNOPSIS:
Active sunspot region 9830 (currently near S20W17) has matured into a
potential producer of significant energetic solar activity. A strong multiple
delta magnetic configuration has materialized over the last several days. The
area of greatest concern exists immediately on the east-side of the negative
polarity leader spot, where a strong delta exists. Analysis of the spot
complex today suggests a major M or X class solar flare may be possible
anytime over the next several days. Any major activity emanating from this
spot complex has the potential to produce enhanced levels of energetic
protons in the near-Earth space environment.
Observers interested in white-light manifestations of activity are
encouraged to pay particularly close attention to the penumbral mass on the
east side of the leader spot. There is a potential for white-light flare
activity from this spot complex.
Significant energetic activity from this spot complex may also be
associated with strong Earthward directed coronal mass ejections over the
next several days.
Persistence suggests the spot complex may continue fairly quiet.
However, the dynamics currently present in the spot complex argue in favor of
at least occasional significant energetic outbursts, beginning anytime within
the next several days.
/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\
POTENTIAL MAJOR SOLAR FLARE WARNING
ISSUED: 19:25 UTC, 21 FEBRUARY 2002
/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\
SYNOPSIS:
Active sunspot region 9830 (currently near S20W17) has matured into a
potential producer of significant energetic solar activity. A strong multiple
delta magnetic configuration has materialized over the last several days. The
area of greatest concern exists immediately on the east-side of the negative
polarity leader spot, where a strong delta exists. Analysis of the spot
complex today suggests a major M or X class solar flare may be possible
anytime over the next several days. Any major activity emanating from this
spot complex has the potential to produce enhanced levels of energetic
protons in the near-Earth space environment.
Observers interested in white-light manifestations of activity are
encouraged to pay particularly close attention to the penumbral mass on the
east side of the leader spot. There is a potential for white-light flare
activity from this spot complex.
Significant energetic activity from this spot complex may also be
associated with strong Earthward directed coronal mass ejections over the
next several days.
Persistence suggests the spot complex may continue fairly quiet.
However, the dynamics currently present in the spot complex argue in favor of
at least occasional significant energetic outbursts, beginning anytime within
the next several days.
/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\
-
Heiko
den Mega-Flare gibt's sicher erst wieder am Ostrand :-) *o.T
den Mega-Flare gibt's sicher erst wieder am Ostrand
*o.T.*
-
Heiko
sorry, Westrand meine ich natuerlich *o.T.*
sorry, Westrand meine ich natuerlich *o.T.*
-
Ulrich Rieth
6:20MEZ online....bist Du krank? *o.T.*
6:20MEZ online....bist Du krank? *o.T.*
-
Peter Wloch
Re: ...dann mall jute Bessrung ! :-) *o.T.*
Re: ...dann mall jute Bessrung !
*o.T.*
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